Determinants of Food Insecurity in Tunisia’s Labor Force During the Ukraine-Russia Conflict
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.33032/acr.6744Kulcsszavak:
food insecurity scale FIES, Tunisia, labor force, Russia-Ukraine war, employment statusAbsztrakt
The Russia-Ukraine conflict, which began in February 2022, has severely disrupted global wheat supply chains, with significant repercussions for food security in import-dependent countries like Tunisia. This study investigates the war’s Determinants on food insecurity levels among Tunisia’s labor force, aged 25–54, using the Food Insecurity Experience Scale (FIES). Focusing on employment status, gender, region (urban vs. rural), and income level, the research examines food insecurity trends across three periods: pre-war (18 months before February 2022), the first 18 months of the war (February 2022 – July 2023), and the subsequent 18 months (August 2023 – January 2025). Survey data from 166 respondents reveal significant disparities: unemployed individuals experienced universal food insecurity (100%) during and after the war, while employed individuals showed partial recovery. Gender disparities emerged in the post-war period, with women facing higher food insecurity rates (49.55%) compared to men (23.81%). Regional differences were also pronounced, with rural areas exhibiting lower food insecurity than urban areas. These findings highlight the disproportionate impact of the war on vulnerable populations and underscore the need for targeted interventions, such as employment programs, gender-sensitive policies, and regional food security initiatives, to mitigate long-term food insecurity in Tunisia.
Hivatkozások
African Development Bank Group (2024): African Economic Outlook 2024: Driving Africa’s Transformation, The Reform of the Global Financial Architecture. African Development Bank. https://www.afdb.org/sites/default/files/2024/06/06/aeo_2024_-_country_notes.pdf
African Development Bank (2022): Emergency food security support project in Tunisia. African Development Bank. https://www.afdb.org/sites/default/files/documents/projects-and-operations/tunisia_-_emergency_food_security_support_project_pausat_-_project_appraisal_report.pdf
Akademiya (2023): Ukraine Crisis Brief Series: Wheat Production Outlook in Tunisia amid. Akademiya2063. https://akademiya2063.org/publications/Ukraine%20Crisis%20and%20African%20Countries/Brief-28-AKADEMIYA2063%20Ukraine%20Crisis%20Brief%20Series.pdf
Macchioni Giaquinto, A., Cafiero, C., Viviani, S., Mane, E., Anríquez, G. (2024): Why are women more food insecure than men? Exploring socioeconomic drivers and the role of COVID-19 in widening the global gender gap. FAO Open Knowledge. https://openknowledge.fao.org/server/api/core/bitstreams/41bacfd2-4e45-4c09-9aa5-564237f71e49/content
Ansah, A.G.K. (2021): Household resilience to food security shocks. Wageningen University and Research. https://research.wur.nl/en/publications/household-resilience-to-food-security-shocks
Egamberdiev, B., Bobojonov, I., Kuhn, L., Glauben, T., Akramov, K. (2024): Household resil-ience and coping strategies to food insecurity: An empirical analysis from Tajikistan. Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, 46(2): 1-20. https://doi.org/10.1002/aepp.13422
Einstein International Center, Tufts University, TANGO (2008): The Coping Strategies Index: Field Methods Manual (2nd Edition). Spring Nutrition. https://spring-nutrition.org/publications/tool-summaries/coping-strategies-index-field-methods-manual-2nd-edition
FAO, CIRAD, RUAF (2024): The Tunis food system in the face of crises: fragility or resili-ence?. FAO Open Knowledge. https://openknowledge.fao.org/server/api/core/bitstreams/6a4304aa-0372-48c3-9bf6-df848d24fe57/content
FAO (2003): The Coping Strategies Index: A tool for rapidly measuring food security and the impact of food aid programmes in emergencies. FAO Open Knowledge. https://openknowledge.fao.org/server/api/core/bitstreams/4477daa3-b242-4b60-897f-ee30debf25e2/content
FAO (2023): GIEWS Country Brief. FAO. https://www.fao.org/giews/countrybrief/country.jsp?code=TUN&lang=en
FAO (n.d.): The Food Insecurity Experience Scale. FAO. https://www.fao.org/in-action/voices-of-the-hungry/fies/en/
FAS Tunis (2024): Grain and Feed Annu-al. USDA. https://apps.fas.usda.gov/newgainapi/api/Report/DownloadReportByFileName?fileName=Grain+and+Feed+Annual_Tunis_Tunisia_TS2024-0003.pdf
GAFSP (2018): Food Insecurity Experience Scale. Global Agriculture and Food Security Pro-gram. https://www.gafspfund.org/sites/default/files/2023-04/GAFSP%20FIES%20Note%20November%202018_web_0%20(1).pdf
Gannoun, I., Naoufel, L., Dorsaf, J. (2024): Price Volatility and Cereal Food Security in Tuni-sia: Determining the Critical Threshold of Cereal Price Volatility Using the Threshold Mod-el. Journal of Agricultural Economics, 12(3): 1-15.
Grebmer, K.V., Grebmer, K.V., Wiemers, M., Schiffer, T., Hanano, A., Towey, O., Ní Chéil-leachair, R., Foley, C., Gitter, S., Ekstrom, K., Fritschel, H. (2021): 2021 Global Hunger Index Hunger And Food Systems In Conflict Settings. Global Hunger In-dex. https://www.globalhungerindex.org/pdf/en/2021.pdf
Habib, H. (2024): Food insecurity in Tunisia during and after the Covid 19 pandemic. Economic Research Forum. https://theforum.erf.org.eg/2024/02/26/food-insecurity-in-tunisia-during-and-after-the-covid-19-pandemic/
INS (Statistique Tunis) (n.d.): Average wage in Tunisia does not exceed 924 dinars (INS). TAP News Agency. https://www.tap.info.tn/en/Portal-Economy/17488011-average-wage-in
International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (2022): Project Appraisal Document On A Proposed Loan In The Amount Of Us$130 Million To The Republic Of Tunisia For A Tunisia Emergency Food Security Response Project. World Bank. https://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/334671656371769842/pdf/Tunisia-Emergency-Food-Security-Response-Project.pdf
Kuhla, K., Puma, M.J., Otto, C. (2024): International cooperation was key to stabilize wheat prices after the Russian Invasion of Ukraine. Communications Earth & Environment, 5(481): 1-15. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01638-7
Ladaninezhad, M., Mohammadi, H., Esmaillzadeh, A., Pouraram, H., Mohaghegh, M. (2023): Measuring household resilience to food insecurity among Iranian teachers in disasters and cri-ses. Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems, 7: 1174459. https://doi.org/10.3389/fsufs.2023.1174459
Lefort, J.S. (2023): Stocking up for resilience. European Investment Bank. https://www.eib.org/en/stories/tunisia-food-security
Malde, J., Sneha, P. (2024): Delving into the Reasons Why Some Prime-Age Men are Out of Work. Bipartisan Policy Center. https://bipartisanpolicy.org/blog/why-some-prime-age-men-are-out-of-work/
Mordor Intelligence (n.d.): Tunisia Grain Market Size (2024-2029). Mordor Intelli-gence. https://www.mordorintelligence.com/industry-reports/grain-market-in-tunisia/market-size
Mottaleb, K.A., Kruseman, G., Snapp, S. (2022): Potential impacts of Ukraine-Russia armed conflict on global wheat food security: A quantitative explora-tion. ResearchGate. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfs.2022.100659
OECD (2022): Employment rate by age group. OECD. https://www.oecd.org/en/data/indicators/employment-rate-by-age-group.html
STATISTA (2024): Total number of people in the labor force in Tunisia from 2004 to 2023 (in 1,000s). Statista. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1236073/number-of-people-in-the-labor-force-in-tunisia/
The African Development Bank Group (2023): Cereal Sector Inclusive And Sustainable Devel-opment Support Project (PADIDFIC). African Development Bank. https://www.afdb.org/en/documents/tunisia-cereal-sector-inclusive-and-sustainable-development-support-project-padidfic-project-appraisal-report
Trading Economics (2024): Tunisia GDP. Trading Econom-ics. https://tradingeconomics.com/tunisia/gdp
Trading Economics (2024): Tunisia Unemployment Rate. Trading Econom-ics. https://tradingeconomics.com/tunisia/unemployment-rate
Nawaiseh, A.A. (n.d.): Food Security Policies In Jordan, Tunisia, And Egypt. Amman: Friedrich Naumann Foundation for Freedom. https://www.freiheit.org/sites/default/files/2023-07/food-security-policies-in-jordan-tunisia-and-egypt-aa.pdf
Trend Economy (2023): Tunisia | Imports and Exports | World | Wheat and meslin | Value (US$) and Value Growth, YoY (%) | 2012 - 2023. Trend Econo-my. https://trendeconomy.com/data/h2/Tunisia/1001
Ulimwengu, J. (2023): The impact of Russia-Ukraine Conflict on Food and Nutrition Security in Africa: A Call for a More Resilient African Food System. Food Security Por-tal. https://ssa.foodsecurityportal.org/node/2431
UN-HABITAT, UNECA (2022): Unbutters flying the effect of the Ukrainian Russian War - How can we anticipate and prepare for the fallouts of the Ukrainian Russian war on the Food Security in two municipalities in Tunisia. United Nations Development Pro-gramme. https://mptf.undp.org/sites/default/files/documents/2022-08/tunisia_food_security_emergency_fund_june_2022_signed_final_1_redacted.pdf
UNICEF (2023): Country Office Annual Report 2023. UNICEF. https://www.unicef.org/media/152616/file/Tunisia-2023-COAR.pdf
UNSDG (2022): Unbutters flying the effect of the Ukrainian-Russian war: How can we antici-pate and prepare for the fallouts of the Ukrainian Russian war on the Food security in the two municipalities in Tunisia?. Multi-partner Trust Fund Of-fice. https://mptf.undp.org/sites/default/files/documents/2022-08/tunisia_food_security_emergency_fund_june_2022_signed_final_1_redacted.pdf
Valletta, R.G. (2024): Why Is Prime-Age Labor Force Participation So High?. Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. https://www.frbsf.org/wp-content/uploads/el2024-03.pdf
Wordometer (2025): Population of Tunisia (2025 and histori-cal). Worldometers. https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/tunisia-population/
World Bank Group (2024): Tunisia: World Bank Projects Boost Food Security, Economic Op-portunities. World Bank. https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2024/03/15/tunisia-world-bank-projects-boost-food-security-economic-opportunities
World Bank Group (2023): Labor force, total - Tunisia. World Bank. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.TLF.TOTL.IN?locations=TN
Letöltések
Megjelent
Folyóirat szám
Rovat
License
Copyright (c) 2025 Amira Saidani

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.